{"id":73323,"date":"2026-04-01T17:11:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T17:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/will-the-iran-war-slow-u-s-hiring-economists-say-risks-are-rising\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T17:11:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T17:11:41","slug":"will-the-iran-war-slow-u-s-hiring-economists-say-risks-are-rising","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/will-the-iran-war-slow-u-s-hiring-economists-say-risks-are-rising\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the Iran war slow U.S. hiring? Economists say risks are rising."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p>The <span class=\"link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/live-updates\/iran-war-trump-nato-tehran-threatens-us-tech-companies-strait-of-hormuz\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">Iran war<\/a><\/span> is adding fresh pressure to a slowing U.S. labor market, with at least one major employer already freezing hiring plans.<\/p>\n<p>Consumer goods giant Unilever, which owns brands such as Dove and Vaseline, told CBS News on Tuesday that it&#8217;s hitting the brakes on hiring amid an <span class=\"link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/iran-war-helium-aluminum-shortage-impact\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">unstable economic backdrop<\/a><\/span>. In a memo obtained by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/unilever-imposes-global-hiring-freeze-citing-middle-east-war-effects-memo-says-2026-03-30\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a>, a Unilever executive pointed to &#8220;macroeconomic and geopolitical realities, especially in the Middle East conflict&#8221; as the reason for the company&#8217;s three-month hiring freeze.<\/p>\n<p>Even before the Iran war began, the U.S. hiring rate had slowed, with the February Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey hitting its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/jolts.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lowest level<\/a> since 2020. Employers across the U.S. shed 92,000 jobs in February, a sharp and unexpected setback in a labor market marked by anemic job growth during the past year as businesses grappled with tariffs and economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re in a period of uncertainty, much like in 2025 with tariffs,&#8221; \u00a0Oxford Economics senior U.S. economist Matthew Martin told CBS News. &#8220;Companies weren&#8217;t sure what the policy, what their cost structure was going to be, which led them to delay hiring.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Iran war&#8217;s impact on hiring may not be immediately reflected in the March jobs report, set to be released on April 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Employers across the U.S. likely added 60,000 jobs last month, rebounding from February&#8217;s decline, according to the average estimate of economists polled by FactSet.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The March jobs report is likely to show modest gains due largely to the ongoing strength of healthcare employment,&#8221; said Heather Long, the chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, in an email. Friday&#8217;s data release will be &#8220;too early to see the impact from the war in Iran.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>Fresh economic headwinds<\/h2>\n<p>As the Iran war continues, businesses are facing fresh headwinds from higher transportation costs, while consumers are coping with higher fuel costs that are straining their budgets.\u00a0<span class=\"link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/oil-prices-iran-war-airfares-when-to-book-travel\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">Airlines are hiking fares<\/a><\/span>, and economists expect some food prices to rise due to the war&#8217;s impact on fertilizer supplies.<\/p>\n<p>Companies may delay hiring as they digest the impact of higher energy prices, Martin said. Unilever, for instance, may be &#8220;looking for ways to reduce overall spend&#8221; as it copes with higher production and distribution costs, while also facing uncertainty about how long the Iran war may continue, he added.<\/p>\n<p>Soaring energy prices could also dent GDP growth, which, in turn, could translate into weaker hiring, said Yelena Shulyatyeva, senior U.S. economist at The Conference Board&#8217;s Economy, Strategy and Finance Center. Still, oil prices would have to hit $140 a barrel \u2014 up from Brent crude&#8217;s current price of about $102 \u2014 for the U.S. economy to tip into a recession and negatively impact the labor market, according to her analysis.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The slower the growth rate is, the lower the need for new employees,&#8221; she told CBS News. The Iran war &#8220;will probably exacerbate these low-churn conditions, because companies don&#8217;t know what to expect. There&#8217;s high uncertainty.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>A higher unemployment rate?<\/h2>\n<p>The unemployment rate could increase by 0.2 percentage points to 4.6% by the end of September, according to Goldman Sachs analysts. Higher oil prices typically &#8220;reduce job growth and raise unemployment,&#8221; they wrote, adding that the arts and entertainment and accommodation and food services industries may be most likely to scale back hiring.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s partly because of the financial impact on consumers, who are spending a greater share of their budgets on gasoline, leaving them with less money to spend on other goods and services. Some consumers may cut back on non-essential purchases, while others may spend more cautiously as they build their savings as a buffer, Martin said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Discretionary goods and services like travel and luxury items would be the hardest hit as people scale back and only spend on the essentials,&#8221; Martin said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<section class=\"content__body--footer\">\n<p class=\"content__meta--editors\">\n      Edited by<\/p>\n<p>                                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/team\/aimee-picchi\/\" class=\"byline__author__link\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">Aimee  Picchi<\/a>\n                      <\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p>  <!-- data-recirc-source=\"chartbeat\" --><\/p>\n<aside class=\"component list recirculation component--type-recirculation  component--type-recirculation-collection\">\n<\/aside>\n<section class=\"content__body--footer\">\n      <!-- tags --><\/p>\n<section class=\"content__tags\">\n<p class=\"content__tags__label\">In:<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/iran-war-jobs-impact-unilever-hiring-freeze\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Iran war is adding fresh pressure to a slowing U.S. labor market, with at least one major employer already<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":73324,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[1898,1528,8181],"class_list":["post-73323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-money-watch","tag-employment","tag-iran","tag-unilever"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will the Iran war slow U.S. hiring? 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