{"id":4462,"date":"2025-02-07T07:23:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-07T07:23:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/europes-trump-playbook-offer-carrots-but-warn-that-you-have-a-big-stick\/"},"modified":"2025-02-07T07:23:33","modified_gmt":"2025-02-07T07:23:33","slug":"europes-trump-playbook-offer-carrots-but-warn-that-you-have-a-big-stick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/europes-trump-playbook-offer-carrots-but-warn-that-you-have-a-big-stick\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe\u2019s Trump Playbook: Offer Carrots but Warn That You Have a Big Stick"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The European Union spent last year drawing up secret plans for what the bloc would do if President Trump made good on his threats of imposing higher tariffs on European goods and services.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now, as those threats go from hypothetical to potentially imminent, its plans are coming into broad focus.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Hit specific, politically sensitive sectors \u2014 like products made in Republican states \u2014 with targeted tariffs meant to inflict maximum pain. Don\u2019t escalate into a tit-for-tat competition if it\u2019s avoidable. Do move quickly and decisively, potentially using new tactics that could hit service providers like big Silicon Valley technology firms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It\u2019s a rough playbook \u2014 described broadly by three diplomats who requested anonymity because the plans were still being discussed \u2014 that Europe would prefer not to use. The first goal is to avoid a trade war by offering to negotiate and dangling carrots, including more European purchases of American gas, which Mr. Trump has been pushing for. E.U. officials have warned that a trade war between the bloc and the United States would be a self-defeating disaster that would cost both sides and benefit geopolitical rivals like China and Russia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But Mr. Trump has kept the continent in his cross hairs, saying this week that the bloc would \u201cdefinitely\u201d face tariffs and \u201cpretty soon.\u201d If appeasement fails, Europe is broadcasting that it is ready to hit back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe are prepared,\u201d Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, said during a news conference this week in Brussels, when asked whether she was ready to fend off tariff increases from the new U.S. administration.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The commission, the bloc\u2019s executive arm, has remained tight-lipped about what products it might hit with higher tariffs even when it meets with ambassadors and other diplomats from E.U. countries, said the three diplomats, who were briefed on the broad ideas developed by the so-called Trump task force. The bloc has 27 member countries, and plans that are shared too widely are likely to leak, eliminating their strategic advantage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But several guiding principles are increasingly clear, said two of the diplomats, the result both of work by the commission\u2019s task force and of experience gleaned from Mr. Trump\u2019s first term. The diplomats requested anonymity to discuss politically sensitive matters.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The first idea is that tariffs would most likely be targeted, whether that means placed on certain industries or geography-tied products. In 2018, for instance, Europe reacted to steel and aluminum tariffs by hitting American whiskey with a large tariff, which hurt Kentucky\u2019s bourbon industry and, thus, a constituency critical to Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican who was then the Senate majority leader.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">A second idea is to stagger the response, kicking in or ratcheting up retaliation only if certain triggers are met or dates passed, two of the diplomats said. Moving deliberately provides more leverage, one diplomat said, and avoids an immediate and painful trade effect.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The third is that responses would not necessarily be tit-for-tat, according to all three diplomats. If Mr. Trump orders a 20 percent across-the-board tariff on Europe, that does not mean that Europe must respond with a 20 percent across-the-board tariff on the United States. The E.U. still wants to abide by global trade rules upheld by the World Trade Organization, which could suggest a more surgical approach.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">One option on the table is the use of an \u201canti-coercion instrument,\u201d a relatively new legal framework that would allow the bloc to rapidly target large American service providers \u2014 like big technology companies \u2014 with tariffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In force <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/en\/ip_23_6804\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">since 2023<\/a>, the tool allows the E.U. to use \u201ca wide range of possible countermeasures\u201d like higher customs duties or import limits when another country harms European industry in an attempt to put pressure on the government and bring about political or policy change. The <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.crowell.com\/en\/insights\/client-alerts\/the-anti-coercion-instrument-what-is-it-and-how-europe-might-use-it-over-the-next-four-years\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">idea<\/a> is to allow the bloc to respond to manipulative political pressure swiftly and sternly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Financial Times <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/7303e57e-67ca-477a-8d00-8d5213f7120c?emailId=2a83cd7a-1cf0-4638-8df1-86b1e9e9a548&amp;segmentId=488e9a50-190e-700c-cc1c-6a339da99cab\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">initially reported<\/a> that the commission could use the tool to hit service providers, including large Silicon Valley technology companies, in response to American tariffs. Two of the diplomats confirmed that using the tool was being discussed, though far from a sure plan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">They said that moving forward with the tool might be too drastic of an option because Europe\u2019s ultimate goal is not to inflame an all-out trade war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For now, it is impossible for Europe to solidify a reaction plan. The simple reason: Nobody knows what Mr. Trump is going to do.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThey want to do a deal \u2014 I think they\u2019re very uncertain still about what the true objectives are,\u201d said J\u00f6rn Fleck, senior director with the Europe Center at the research group The Atlantic Council.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Also, E.U. leaders have at times struggled to get Washington on the phone. Marco Rubio, the secretary of state, has <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/donald-trump-secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-kaja-kallas-phone-call-skipped-meeting-diplomacy\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">been invited<\/a> to meet with foreign ministers but has not done so, though he has had a call with the bloc\u2019s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas. Ms. von der Leyen has not met with Mr. Trump since the inauguration in January.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Even though Mr. Trump has not said what tariffs on Europe would look like, he has repeatedly said he wants Europe to buy more <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/02\/04\/business\/trump-germany-cars-tariffs.html\" title=\"\">American cars<\/a> and farm products, in addition to gas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That has left Europe offering incentives in an effort to fend off the trade war before it begins. Officials have been clear that they are willing \u2014 even poised \u2014 to buy more American fuel. Officials are already trying to find a way to diversity their energy sources as the continent weans itself off Russian gas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe still get a lot of LNG from Russia, and why not replace it by American LNG,\u201d Ms. von der Leyen <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/eu-may-consider-replacing-russian-lng-imports-with-those-us-von-der-leyen-says-2024-11-08\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">said in the days<\/a> after Mr. Trump was elected, referring to liquefied natural gas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">European officials have also said they are likely to buy more American defense products as they ramp up bloc-wide military spending. Higher military expenditures are, in part, a response to Mr. Trump, who has insisted that European nations spend more on NATO.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And when it comes to Greenland \u2014 an autonomous territory of Denmark, an E.U. member, that Mr. Trump <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/01\/26\/world\/europe\/trump-greenland-denmark.html\" title=\"\">wants to annex<\/a> for its strategic importance \u2014 Europeans have emphasized that they are open to investing more in the island.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI totally agree with the Americans that the High North, that the Arctic region, is becoming more and more important when we\u2019re talking about defense and security and deterrence,\u201d Mette Frederiksen, the prime minister of Denmark, said in Brussels this week. \u201cAnd it is possible to find a way to ensure stronger footprints in Greenland.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Above all, European leaders have been trying to remind America of how important the relationship between the E.U. and the United States is, both economically and for global peace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Not only is the E.U., when treated as a bloc, America\u2019s <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/who-is-americas-top-commercial-partner-hint-its-not-china\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">most important trading<\/a> partner. It is also a major importer of American services, and, as officials have <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/en\/speech_25_404\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">repeatedly emphasized<\/a> in recent days, European companies employ millions of Americans.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cA lot is at stake for both sides,\u201d Ms. von der Leyen said this week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But she added that \u201cwe will always protect our own interests \u2014 however and whenever that is needed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Ana Swanson<!-- --> contributed reporting.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins 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made<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4463,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[1787,114,1907,569,98,338,751,113,109,111,1909,1908],"class_list":["post-4462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world","tag-brussels-belgium","tag-donald-j","tag-european-commission","tag-european-union","tag-international-relations","tag-international-trade-and-world-market","tag-protectionism-trade","tag-trump","tag-united-states-international-relations","tag-united-states-politics-and-government","tag-ursula","tag-von-der-leyen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Europe\u2019s Trump Playbook: Offer Carrots but Warn That You Have a Big Stick - World News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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