{"id":4059,"date":"2025-02-05T13:55:13","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T13:55:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/a-city-killer-asteroid-has-a-slim-chance-to-crash-into-earth-heres-what-to-know\/"},"modified":"2025-02-05T13:55:13","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T13:55:13","slug":"a-city-killer-asteroid-has-a-slim-chance-to-crash-into-earth-heres-what-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/a-city-killer-asteroid-has-a-slim-chance-to-crash-into-earth-heres-what-to-know\/","title":{"rendered":"A &#8220;city-killer&#8221; asteroid has a slim chance to crash into Earth. Here&#8217;s what to know."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p>A colossal explosion in the sky, unleashing energy hundreds of times greater than the <span class=\"link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/pictures\/anniversary-hiroshima-nagasaki-atomic-bomb-world-war-ii\/\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">Hiroshima bomb<\/a><\/span>. A blinding flash nearly as bright as the sun. Shockwaves powerful enough to flatten everything for miles.<\/p>\n<p>It may sound apocalyptic, but a newly detected asteroid nearly the size of a football field now has a greater than one percent chance of colliding with Earth in about eight years.<\/p>\n<p>Such an impact has the potential for city-level devastation, depending on where it strikes.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists aren&#8217;t panicking yet, but they are watching closely.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;At this point, it&#8217;s &#8216;Let&#8217;s pay a lot of attention, let&#8217;s get as many assets as we can observing it,'&#8221; Bruce Betts, chief scientist of The Planetary Society, told AFP.<\/p>\n<h2>What we know 2024 YR4 and its chances of hitting Earth<\/h2>\n<p>Dubbed <a href=\"https:\/\/neo.ssa.esa.int\/search-for-asteroids?sum=1&amp;des=2024YR4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">2024 YR4<\/a>, the asteroid was first spotted on December 27, 2024, by the El Sauce Observatory in Chile. Based on its brightness, astronomers estimate it is between 130 and 300 feet wide.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;An asteroid this size impacts Earth on average every few thousand years and could cause severe damage to a local region,&#8221; the European Space Agency <a href=\"https:\/\/www.esa.int\/Space_Safety\/Planetary_Defence\/ESA_actively_monitoring_near-Earth_asteroid_2024_YR4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">said in a statement<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>By New Year&#8217;s Eve, it had landed on the desk of Kelly Fast, acting planetary defense officer at US space agency NASA, as an object of concern.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You get observations, they drop off again. This one looked like it had the potential to stick around,&#8221; she told AFP.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"embed embed--type-youtube-video embed--float-none embed--size-large embed--type-video\">\n<p>\n    <iframe class=\"embed__content lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube-nocookie.com\/embed\/T_jQebmyvQU?autoplay=0&amp;rel=1\" data-optanon-category=\"essential\" data-height=\"113\" data-width=\"200\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"true\"><\/iframe>\n  <\/p><figcaption><span class=\"embed__caption\"><br \/>\n      <cite><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/T_jQebmyvQU\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Near Earth Asteroid 2024 YR4 observed with the VLT<\/a><\/cite> by<br \/>\n      <cite><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@ESOobservatory\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">European Southern Observatory (ESO)<\/a><\/cite> on<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a><br \/>\n    <\/span><br \/>\n  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The risk assessment kept climbing, and on January 29, the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), a global planetary defense collaboration, issued a memo.<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest calculations from NASA&#8217;s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, there is a 1.6% chance the asteroid will strike Earth on December 22, 2032.<\/p>\n<p>The asteroid 2024 YR4 is now rated at Level 3 out of 10 on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cneos.jpl.nasa.gov\/sentry\/torino_scale.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Torino Impact Hazard Scale<\/a>, which is &#8220;a close encounter&#8221; that warrants attention from astronomers and the public.<\/p>\n<p>If it does hit, possible impact sites include over the eastern Pacific Ocean, northern South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia, the IAWN memo states.<\/p>\n<p>2024 YR4 follows a highly elliptical, four-year orbit, swinging through the inner planets before shooting past Mars and out toward Jupiter.<\/p>\n<p>For now, it&#8217;s zooming away from Earth &#8212; its next close pass will not come until 2028.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The odds are very good that not only will this not hit Earth, but at some point in the next months to few years, that probability will go to zero,&#8221; said Betts.<\/p>\n<p>A similar scenario unfolded in 2004 with Apophis, an asteroid initially projected to have a 2.7 percent chance of striking Earth in 2029. Further observations ruled out an impact.<\/p>\n<h2>&#8220;City killer&#8221; category<\/h2>\n<p>The most infamous asteroid impact occurred 66 million years ago, when a six-mile-wide space rock triggered a global winter, wiping out the dinosaurs and 75 percent of all species.<\/p>\n<p>By contrast, 2024 YR4 falls into the &#8220;city killer&#8221; category.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If you put it over Paris or London or New York, you basically wipe out the whole city and some of the environs,&#8221; said Betts.<\/p>\n<p>The best modern comparison is the 1908 Tunguska Event, when an asteroid or comet fragment measuring 30-50 meters exploded over Siberia, flattening 80 million trees across 770 square miles.<\/p>\n<p>Like that impactor, 2024 YR4 would be expected to blow up in the sky, rather than leaving a crater on the ground.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We can calculate the energy&#8230; using the mass and the speed,&#8221; said Andrew Rivkin, a planetary astronomer at Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory.<\/p>\n<p>For 2024 YR4, the explosion from an airburst would equal around eight megatons of TNT &#8212; more than 500 times the power of the Hiroshima bomb.<\/p>\n<p>If it explodes over the ocean, the impact would be less concerning, unless it happens near a coastline triggering a tsunami.<\/p>\n<h2>Time to prepare<\/h2>\n<p>The good news, experts stress, is that we have plenty of time to prepare.<\/p>\n<p>Rivkin led the investigation for <span class=\"link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/dart-mission-double-asteroid-redirection-test-how-nasa-hit-the-bullseye\/\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\">NASA&#8217;s 2022 DART mission<\/a><\/span>, which successfully nudged an asteroid off its course using a spacecraft &#8212; a strategy known as a &#8220;kinetic impactor.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The target asteroid posed no threat to Earth, making it an ideal test subject.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t see why it wouldn&#8217;t work&#8221; again, he said. The bigger question is whether major nations would fund such a mission if their own territory was not under threat.<\/p>\n<p>Other, more experimental ideas exist.<\/p>\n<p>Lasers could vaporize part of the asteroid to create a thrust effect, pushing it off course. A &#8220;gravity tractor,&#8221; a large spacecraft that slowly tugs the asteroid away using its own gravitational pull, has also been theorized.<\/p>\n<p>If all else fails, the long warning time means authorities could evacuate the impact zone.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Nobody should be scared about this,&#8221; said Fast. &#8220;We can find these things, make these predictions and have the ability to plan.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Still, NASA tracks close approaches and calculates the odds of those space rocks \u2014 including asteroids, meteors and meteorites \u2014 impacting Earth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The majority of near-Earth objects have orbits that don&#8217;t bring them very close to Earth, and therefore pose no risk of impact, but a small fraction of them \u2013 called potentially hazardous asteroids \u2013 require more attention,&#8221;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpl.nasa.gov\/asteroid-watch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">according to<\/a>\u00a0the website of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, which manages the center dedicated to studying near-Earth objects for NASA.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- data-recirc-source=\"chartbeat\" --><\/p>\n<aside class=\"component list recirculation component--type-recirculation component--type-recirculation-collection\">\n<p>                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/feature\/space-astronomy\/?intcid=CNI-00-10aaa3a\" class=\"component__view-more component__view-more--sm\" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=\"\"><br \/>\n            More<br \/>\n            <svg viewbox=\"0 0 32 32\" class=\"icon__caret-right\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#icon-caret-down\"\/><\/svg><\/a><br \/>\n                    <\/aside>\n<p><!-- tags --><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/asteroid-2024-yr4-chance-hit-earth-what-to-know\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A colossal explosion in the sky, unleashing energy hundreds of times greater than the Hiroshima bomb. A blinding flash nearly<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4060,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[1095],"class_list":["post-4059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-space","tag-asteroid"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>A &quot;city-killer&quot; asteroid has a slim chance to crash into Earth. 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