{"id":24913,"date":"2025-05-11T12:26:11","date_gmt":"2025-05-11T12:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/fires-deficits-trump-a-hollywood-exodus-how-resilient-is-california\/"},"modified":"2025-05-11T12:26:11","modified_gmt":"2025-05-11T12:26:11","slug":"fires-deficits-trump-a-hollywood-exodus-how-resilient-is-california","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/fires-deficits-trump-a-hollywood-exodus-how-resilient-is-california\/","title":{"rendered":"Fires, Deficits, Trump, a Hollywood Exodus. How Resilient Is California?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">California eclipsed Japan in 2024 to become the fourth-largest economy in the world. Gov. Gavin Newsom <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.ca.gov\/2025\/05\/01\/californias-population-increases-again\/#:~:text=SACRAMENTO%20%E2%80%94%20Today%2C%20Governor%20Gavin%20Newsom,the%20California%20Department%20of%20Finance.\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">announced earlier this month<\/a> that the state\u2019s population increased for the second year in a row. Tourism has hit record levels, as Los Angeles prepares to step onto the world stage as the host of the 2028 Summer Olympics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But for all of that, there are rising signs that California is entering one of the most difficult periods in its history. The state is confronting what many leaders and officials say is an unprecedented confluence of forces \u2014 economic, political, social, environmental \u2014 that\u2019s about to test its long record of resilience in the face of catastrophe, natural and otherwise.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Those population figures may prove to be a mirage. Analysts say the state\u2019s population could well decline because of the wildfires that wiped out more than 6,000 homes in Los Angeles in January and because of the Trump administration\u2019s immigration crackdown. Many young people are moving to other states to escape a housing shortage, leaving behind an aging population in a state that has long been a symbol of youth and energy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Los Angeles, an economic engine for the state, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/19\/us\/los-angeles-budget-deficit.html\" title=\"\">is grappling with a $1 billion budget<\/a> shortfall even before it confronts the challenge of rebuilding from the fires and the potential economic drain of preparing for the Olympics. Like San Francisco, it is struggling with an epidemic of homelessness on its sidewalks and downtown business districts that have been hollowed out by the Covid pandemic.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And at a time when the state is more vulnerable and more desperate for federal assistance after the fires, it seems unlikely California can look to Washington for help. President Trump has been far more antagonistic toward the state than he was in his first term.<span class=\"css-8l6xbc evw5hdy0\">  <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cCalifornia emerged from the Great Recession, when it was declared a dysfunctional, ungovernable state, as the world\u2019s fifth-largest economy,\u201d said Miriam Pawel, an author who has written extensively about California history and politics. \u201cThat said, California has never encountered this kind of adversarial, hostile relationship from the federal government, which creates a tremendous degree of uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Since the Gold Rush of 1848, California has been an American beacon of reinvention, creativity and opportunity. With its abundant natural resources, wealth and beauty, it has powered through disaster after disaster: the collapse of the defense and aerospace economy in the late 1980s, the Loma Prieta earthquake in San Francisco in 1989, the riots in Los Angeles in 1992.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For all the signs of trouble, some California leaders say they remain optimistic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe have problems, we have challenges,\u201d said Gray Davis, a Democrat who served as governor of California from 1999 to 2003. \u201cWe can overcome them. We\u2019ll see the evidence of that over the next few years. I wouldn\u2019t bet against California.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Jerry Brown, a Democrat who served twice as California\u2019s governor, said he has long been skeptical of stories in the media that declare that California\u2019s best days are behind it. \u201cI remember a Look Magazine article talking about the same thing when my father was governor,\u201d he said of Pat Brown, who was governor from 1959 to 1967.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Still, even Jerry Brown said the coming months and years would be difficult, marked by budget deficits, higher taxes, battles with the Trump administration and climate change.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI think the wealth of California will allow for a basic and enduring resilience,\u201d Mr. Brown said. \u201cThere will be cutbacks in L.A. and in a lot of places. The point is that it\u2019s such a wealthy state that there\u2019s a lot of room to adjust. But a lot of people are going to get hurt in the process.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">James Gallagher, the State Assembly\u2019s Republican leader and a sixth-generation California rice farmer, said conditions in the state were as distressing as he could remember.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cLook, I\u2019m a California optimist,\u201d Mr. Gallagher said. \u201cI do believe that we can turn this around. That\u2019s always been the California dream: If you come out here, you can follow your dreams and make them come true. That is becoming less true.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">At this moment of unease, the state\u2019s political leadership finds itself at a crossroads. Over the next two years, there will be a new governor \u2014 Mr. Newsom is barred by term limits from seeking re-election \u2014 and what will likely be a hard-fought race to determine the next mayor of Los Angeles after Karen Bass. Mayor Bass faces an electorate frustrated with her response to the fires. And Mr. Newsom has roiled members of his own party as he pivots from assailing the Trump administration to publicly criticizing Democrats and inviting Trump supporters to appear on his podcast. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Democrats here, like party members across the nation, are in a battle about the future direction of the party, amid evidence that it lost some voters by staking out positions that were too far to the left. Mr. Trump lost California in the 2024 presidential election, but he had a relatively <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/politics\/elections\/2024\/12\/california-election-results-trump-vote-2024\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">strong showing in parts of the state<\/a>, winning 10 counties that Joseph R. Biden Jr. carried in 2020.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWe definitely need to reclaim the magic,\u201d said Donna Bojarsky, a longtime civic leader and Democratic activist. \u201cIt\u2019s not helpless, but it is Sisyphean. California does have particular challenges at this moment. It is different from what we faced before.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Pete Wilson, a Republican, was governor from 1991 to 1999, a tenure that included the tail end of the collapse of the aerospace industry and a major earthquake. He said the state seemed in much tougher shape now, pointing to rising homelessness and struggling public schools.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt\u2019s much worse now than it was then, and it was pretty bad then,\u201d Mr. Wilson said. \u201cIf things don\u2019t change, I\u2019m not optimistic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Even before the January fires, California, with its high housing costs and taxes, had become an increasingly expensive place to live, particularly for younger and lower-income people. Juan Reyes, who owns a metal recycling business, said that with two incomes, he and his wife could barely afford the rent for their Monterey Park apartment. He said they were considering moving back to Mexico, where Mr. Reyes immigrated from more than 30 years ago.<span class=\"css-8l6xbc evw5hdy0\">  <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe truth is you can\u2019t live in California anymore,\u201d Mr. Reyes said in Spanish while sitting on a park bench in East Los Angeles. \u201cSome time ago, one could afford to live here. Everything was cheap.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But across town at the Grove, an upscale shopping center, there was confidence in the state\u2019s future.<span class=\"css-8l6xbc evw5hdy0\">  <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cGood bones are good bones, and California has good bones,\u201d said Shem Bitterman, a 65-year-old screenwriter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The biggest difference today, compared to the difficult chapters California has weathered since its founding in 1850, is the presence of a president who has expressed hostility toward the state. Mr. Trump and Washington Republicans have sought to unravel signature California policies and projects on auto emissions, electric vehicles, high-speed rail, and water and forest management. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When the Northridge earthquake devastated parts of Los Angeles in January 1994, leading to 60 deaths and $40 billion in damage, President Bill Clinton, a Democrat, marshaled federal resources and financial assistance from the earliest hours of the disaster. The governor at the time was Mr. Wilson, a Republican.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">By contrast, Mr. Trump has said he would only consider granting California emergency assistance if the state <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/administration\/5105004-trump-demands-voter-id-water-aid\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">bowed to a shifting list of demands<\/a>, including implementing voter ID requirements and changing the way it managed the state water supply. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThere was a competition between our administration and the White House over who could do the most for L.A.,\u201d said Bill Whalen, Mr. Wilson\u2019s speechwriter at the time who is now a senior fellow at a conservative think tank, the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. \u201cClinton\u2019s political default was \u2018I can\u2019t do enough for that state because I want those votes in 1996.\u2019 The Trump administration\u2019s default is, let\u2019s just say, different.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Newsom, who is considering a run for president when his term as governor ends, has in recent days sought to push back on the notion of a struggling California. When the state announced that its population had increased by 108,000 in 2024, Mr. Newsom offered that statistic as a corrective to the notion \u2014 pushed by Republicans \u2014 that people were fleeing California.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Demographers have raised concerns about the population trends, even before the fires. Nearly 200,000 Californians between the age of 20 and 29 left the state between 2020 and 2023. And in recent years, film and television producers have headed for other states and nations, drawn by the promise of lower costs and tax breaks. By one count, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/19\/movies\/hollywood-filming-overseas.html\" title=\"\">180,000 jobs in Hollywood<\/a>, an industry that has long helped define California, have disappeared over the past three years. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Newsom boasted about last year\u2019s new tourism numbers, but said that the number of international visitors this year was already beginning to fall because of tariffs, immigration restrictions and the increasingly fraught relationship between Mr. Trump and foreign governments. The state now projects a 9.2 percent decrease in international tourism for next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The fires in January in Pacific Palisades and Altadena hit a housing market that was already reeling from high prices and scarcity. State officials said it seemed inevitable that some insurance companies will pull out of the housing market \u2014 making it much harder to build a home or get a mortgage \u2014 while others will raise already high rates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Brown has been one of California\u2019s biggest boosters for nearly half a century. He said in an interview last week that he remains as confident about the future of the state today as he was when he saw the Look Magazine article about California\u2019s woes when his father was governor. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThings move in California, and they change,\u201d he said. \u201cWe lost aerospace, but we gained the Silicon Valley. California is still a force.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Orlando Mayorqu\u00edn<!-- --> contributed reporting from Los Angeles.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/05\/11\/us\/california-turmoil-resilience.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>California eclipsed Japan in 2024 to become the fourth-largest economy in the world. Gov. Gavin Newsom announced earlier this month<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24914,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[617,444,283,4519,7025,616,7026,618,615,208,339,621,4273],"class_list":["post-24913","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-us","tag-bass","tag-brown","tag-california","tag-davis","tag-edmund-g-jr","tag-gavin","tag-joseph-graham-jr","tag-karen-ruth","tag-newsom","tag-pete","tag-southern-california-wildfires-jan-2025","tag-states-us","tag-wilson"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Fires, Deficits, Trump, a Hollywood Exodus. 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