{"id":18295,"date":"2025-04-09T10:47:59","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T10:47:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/analysis-trumps-tariffs-disrupt-global-trade-without-a-clear-strategy\/"},"modified":"2025-04-09T10:47:59","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T10:47:59","slug":"analysis-trumps-tariffs-disrupt-global-trade-without-a-clear-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.itshrt.com\/worldnews\/analysis-trumps-tariffs-disrupt-global-trade-without-a-clear-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: Trump\u2019s Tariffs Disrupt Global Trade Without a Clear Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">As the breadth of the Trump revolution has spread across Washington in recent weeks, its most defining feature is a burn-it-down-first, figure-out-the-consequences-later recklessness. The costs of that approach are now becoming clear.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Administration officials knew the markets would dive and other nations would retaliate when President Trump announced his long-promised \u201creciprocal\u201d tariffs. But when pressed, several senior officials conceded that they had spent only a few days considering how the economic earthquake might have second-order effects.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And officials have yet to describe the strategy for managing a global system of astounding complexity after the initial shock wears off, other than endless threats and negotiations between the leader of the world\u2019s largest economy and everyone else.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Take the seemingly unmanaged escalation with China, the world\u2019s second largest economy, and the only superpower capable of challenging the United States economically, technologically and militarily. By American and Chinese accounts, there was no substantive conversation between Mr. Trump and China\u2019s top leader, Xi Jinping, or engagement among their senior aides, before the countries plunged toward a trade war.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Last Wednesday, Mr. Trump\u2019s hastily devised formula for figuring out country-by-country tariffs came up with a 34 percent tax on all Chinese goods, everything from car parts to iPhones to much of what is on the shelves at Walmart and on Amazon\u2019s app.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When Mr. Xi, predictably, matched that figure, Mr. Trump issued an ultimatum for him to reverse the decision in 24 hours \u2014 waving a red flag in front of a leader who would never want to appear to be backing down to Washington. On Wednesday, the tariff went to 104 percent, with no visible strategy for de-escalation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">If Mr. Trump does get into a trade war with China, he shouldn\u2019t look for much help from America\u2019s traditional allies \u2014 Japan, South Korea or the European Union \u2014 who together with the United States account for nearly half of the world economy. All of them were equally shocked, and while each is negotiating with Mr. Trump, they seem in no mood to help him manage China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cDonald Trump has launched a global economic war without any allies,\u201d the economist Josh Lipsky of the Atlantic Council wrote on Tuesday. \u201cThat is why \u2014 unlike previous economic crises in this century \u2014 there is no one coming to save the global economy if the situation starts to unravel.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The global trading system is only one example of the Trump administration tearing something apart, only to reveal it has no plan for how to replace it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">State Department officials knew that eliminating the U.S. Agency for International Development, the nation\u2019s premier aid agency, would inevitably cost lives. But when a devastating earthquake struck central Myanmar late last month and took down buildings as far away as Bangkok, officials scrambled to provide even a modicum of help \u2014 only to discover that the network of positioned aid, and the people and aircraft to distribute it, had been dismantled.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Having dismantled a system that had responded to major calamities before, they settled on sending a survey team of three employees to examine the wreckage and make recommendations. All three <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/05\/us\/politics\/aid-workers-myanmar-fired.html\" title=\"\">were terminated from their jobs<\/a> even while they stood amid the ruins in the ancient city of Mandalay, Myanmar, trying to revive an American capability that the Department of Government Efficiency \u2014 really no department at all \u2014 had crippled.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Secretary of State Marco Rubio was unapologetic about the paltry American response when he talked to reporters on Friday: \u201cThere are a lot of other rich countries, they should also pitch in and help,\u201d he said. \u201cWe\u2019re going to continue to do our part, but it\u2019s going to be balanced with all of the other interests we have as a country.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Similarly, there was no plan for retrieving a Maryland man who was wrongfully deported to a notoriously dangerous Salvadoran prison, a move a judge called \u201cwholly lawless\u201d and an issue the Supreme Court is expected to take up in the next few days. A Justice Department lawyer in the case <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/05\/us\/politics\/justice-dept-immigration-lawyer-leave.html\" title=\"\">was placed on administrative leave<\/a>, apparently for conceding that the man never should have been sent to the prison.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has appeared mostly unmoved as the knock-on effects of his policies take shape. He has shrugged off the loss of $5 trillion in the value of the American markets in recent days. Aboard Air Force One on Sunday night, he said: \u201cSometimes you have to take medicine to fix something.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In their public appearances, Mr. Trump\u2019s aides have often contradicted each other, even on the rationale for imposing the tariffs. Peter Navarro, the most enthusiastic defender of the tariffs, has repeatedly described them as a new, permanent feature of America\u2019s economic defenses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThis is not a negotiation,\u201d he wrote in The Financial Times. \u201cFor the U.S., it is a national emergency triggered by trade deficits caused by a rigged system.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Like Mr. Trump, Mr. Navarro has made the case that tariffs will become a major source of government revenue, as they were in the 1890s, before the creation of the income tax. (Among the skeptics of Mr. Navarro\u2019s analysis is Elon Musk, who is leading the Department of Government Efficiency and is the world\u2019s richest man. He called Mr. Navarro \u201ctruly a moron\u201d and \u201cdumber than a sack of bricks\u201d on social media.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But if you listen to Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, who has looked pained as he has had to defend the tariff strategy, the taxes on imports are a negotiation tool. He said on Monday that he is overseeing such talks with Japan, which is the world\u2019s No. 3 economy and the United States\u2019 most critical ally in containing Chinese power. But it is unclear whether that negotiation is about tariffs, nontariff barriers or geopolitics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">(Clearly, there are exemptions to the tariffs for gaining geopolitical advantage. Kevin Hassett, one of Mr. Trump\u2019s top economic advisers, said on ABC on Sunday: \u201cThere\u2019s obviously an ongoing negotiation with Russia and Ukraine, and I think the president made the decision not to conflate the two issues.\u201d Russia pays no tariffs under the president\u2019s current system; Ukraine, the victim of Moscow\u2019s 2022 invasion, pays 10 percent.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump, never one to be pinned down on strategy, declared that all explanations for the purposes of his tariffs work for him. \u201cThey can both be true. There can be permanent tariffs and there can also be negotiations, because there are things we need beyond tariffs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">What is missing, at least so far, is a vision of the future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump\u2019s aides insist the speed at which they are working is a feature, not a bug, of the system. Move too slowly, Mr. Musk has insisted, and the bureaucracy would dig in, never to be dislodged. \u201cNobody\u2019s going to bat a thousand,\u201d he said at the White House in February. \u201cWe will make mistakes. But we\u2019ll act quickly to correct any mistakes.\u201d He cited the restoration of some aid to contain Ebola, and the rehiring of workers at the National Nuclear Safety Administration who oversee nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-8\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But it is impossible to move through the empty corridors of the Ronald Reagan Building \u2014 where U.S.A.I.D., the Environmental Protection Agency and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars all have been subject to DOGE mandates to fire many workers \u2014 without it becoming clear that there is little plan for dealing with the work left behind. U.S.A.I.D.\u2019s doors are locked; the E.P.A. has stopped collecting some critical data; no one knows what is happening to the Wilson Center\u2019s <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Cold War archive<\/a> but its scholars are largely gone. Over at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, monitoring Russian and Chinese malware has taken a back seat to avoiding coming job cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When the question of whether departments are looking beyond the budget line and thinking ahead to what happens when capabilities and expertise disappear gets asked, the answer is a tinge defensive. The Department of Health and Human Services has pulled back billions of dollars for monitoring Covid-19 and improving responses to future viral outbreaks. When asked, the department said: \u201cThe Covid-19 pandemic is over, and H.H.S. will no longer waste billions of taxpayer dollars responding to a nonexistent pandemic that Americans moved on from years ago.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">All this suggests a failure to look around corners \u2014 which is hardly new in the American presidency. Herbert Hoover signed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in June 1930, thinking they would help create jobs, then went fishing. They instead accelerated the Great Depression.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The White House insists this time the result will be the opposite. It is a huge bet, one on which not only Mr. Trump\u2019s presidency but the fate of the global economy rests. And no one can predict where the bottom is for the markets, or where the top is for the escalation with China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe speed and chaos surrounding President Trump\u2019s policy rollout have created extraordinary global economic disruption; nobody alive has ever witnessed self-induced volatility on this scale,\u201d Ian Bremmer, the founder of the Eurasia Group, a consulting firm, wrote this week.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-9\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">At the beginning of the year, the United States had the strongest economic position of any of the Group of 7 nations, he noted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now, he concluded, \u201cPresident Trump has become the principal disrupter.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ItShrt World News -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6606220950177433\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1882483372\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/08\/us\/politics\/trump-tariffs-global-trade-war.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the breadth of the Trump revolution has spread across Washington in recent weeks, its most defining feature is a<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18296,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[239,114,1439,751,3598,113,1332],"class_list":["post-18295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-us","tag-customs-tariff","tag-donald-j","tag-economic-conditions-and-trends","tag-protectionism-trade","tag-smoot-hawley-tariff-act-1930","tag-trump","tag-united-states-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Analysis: Trump\u2019s Tariffs Disrupt Global Trade Without a Clear Strategy - World News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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